WI 1945 Tory victory in British general election.

As a off the wall idea: what if Churchill retired in 1945, citing his health, age and immense service to Britain, and endorsing Eden as his successor?

He could tour the country, feeding a massive national wave of emotion and thankfulness, placing himself in an unassailable position and through reflected glory, perhaps helping the Conservative vote? It would certainly keep Labour off the front pages.
 
Yes. Even Baldwin was (off the record) interested in this. I'm reading 'Burying Caesar' - Graham Stewart next to find out more.

That is a very good book indeed on 30s politics. Cannot recall if it throws much light on this, but then I wasn't really looking.
 
As a off the wall idea: what if Churchill retired in 1945, citing his health, age and immense service to Britain, and endorsing Eden as his successor?

He could tour the country, feeding a massive national wave of emotion and thankfulness, placing himself in an unassailable position and through reflected glory, perhaps helping the Conservative vote? It would certainly keep Labour off the front pages.
Sounds like a good idea... acting in this new 'elder statesman' role, he might do the Tories more good.

Remember, though, that even when he lost in OTL he didn't retire, nor did he do so for the following two elections... remaining leader of the Conservative Party (and from 1951-55, PM for a second time) until the age of eighty-one. And he only retired then after having suffered a series of strokes two years earlier.

So, if we can get him to have a big stroke earlier, say in early '45...
 
Sounds like a good idea... acting in this new 'elder statesman' role, he might do the Tories more good.

Remember, though, that even when he lost in OTL he didn't retire, nor did he do so for the following two elections... remaining leader of the Conservative Party (and from 1951-55, PM for a second time) until the age of eighty-one. And he only retired then after having suffered a series of strokes two years earlier.

So, if we can get him to have a big stroke earlier, say in early '45...

Yes, I'm not saying it would be particularly characteristic of him, he would probably have to be forced into it by worse health.
 

perfectgeneral

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Leave poor Winny alone!

Baldwin, Butler, Nev Chamberlain and Halifax dragged the reputation of the party through the mud with protectionism and appeasement. Isolate that element of the party, merge with all the Liberal parties, throw in some earlier reform (not as extreme as Labour's) and they might fair better in the 1945 polls. Is this ASBs whispering in my ear? It seems possible to me.
 
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perfectgeneral

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Winning the Peace

I have been reading about liberal economics. Churchill was in favour of a Land Value/Rent Tax. He spoke in favour of such in parliament (1909). It was the vested interests of the landed gentry in the House of Lords that limited this Liberal/Georgist ambition earlier in the century. If he reintroduces this he might steal some thunder from the Marxist ideology. Herbert Morrison tried this in 1938/1939 with the London Rating (Site Values) Bill.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Land_value_tax

I'm thinking of connecting him with E.G. West, von Hayek, John Jewkes, Karl Popper and Antony Fisher. Some early Austrian School thinktank/policy unit based at the LSE. They would want independent clearing banks and a fixed level of currency instead of a Bank of England setting one interest rate for all. Full reserve banking might be pegged to the dollar rather than gold. Alternatively the pound might be traded like a commodity with an absolute limit on the money supply (although this might seriously distort the pound/dollar exchange rate).

This land value tax would pay for public/common goods like defence, national audit, public health measures (NHS lite, environmental protection, sewage treatment, drinking water and washing water), weights and measures, competition and policing. In addition a mineral extraction tax would feed into a reserve fund to be held in trust as investment capital for UK small businesses (either for a shareholding held in trust or as a loan secured on the whole company) and student loans.

Maybe we should nationalise the land? Allow rental/lease but never sell it again? This would burn the bridges behind a new Radical party.

The Hong Kong government generates more than 35% of its revenue from land taxes.

Topical interest currently: http://www.moneyweek.com/investments/property/bust-will-follow-boom---but-when.aspx
 
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perfectgeneral

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A further examination of Georgist theory has uncovered that land rent is always equal to local tax spend. It is the spending of government that gives a land rental value.

If this is true then government would only be taking back what is theirs. The land still has other benefits of ownership (you get a say in what is done there, you can live there, you can work there, you can grow crops and you can sell mineral content). If the tax is too high it is because the rent is too high. The value of the land drops, the land rent drops and then the tax drops. It all balances out.

I think slogans like 'We fought for it, the land is ours!' would go down well with the Khaki vote.
 

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Marginal gain for marginal gain

A new system of politics is in order. Churchill (ironically) wants to change politics so that rational choice works better than polemic and passionate irrational argument. The LSE suggest policy pricing. Each choice has a price in it's consequences. spend £1 on health and you get better return than on a second pound on health. While Churchill can see the merit in the argument he knows he can't sell it to the voters. He can do something about the Lords and local government however. If the land rent tax goes straight to local government, they will be responsible (at last) for their actions. No matter how they blame him for central regulation the voters will judge them on how they spend the money. A National Subscription from this will still be required to finance Defence, Foreign Policy, National Regulation (standards) and National Debt. The executive shall be split in two: national and local. The legislature needs a new, effective, balance to replace the Lords. Let's not throw the baby out with the bathwater though. The experience of the law lords and ex-ministers ensured that new laws would work and were drafted well. The heriditary lords would have to go of course. We can't just leave it a rump house of lawyers and political chronies though. Perhaps retired professors and corporate directors could help. They must be retired though, can't have a conflict of interests.

The LSE want to combat rent-seeking?
 
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Hey PG,

Glad to see this thread has survived.

Could a POD where Churchill accepts nationalisation of coal-mining and the railways (ONLY!) be developed? Such a move could drain a lot of Labour support and help create a Tory majority... As far back as '19 there were government commissions that recommended the nationalisation of the coal mines...

Just a thought. Wish I knew British politics better, frankly...
 

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re: Coal Mines

A major tax on mineral extraction, plus any surface land rent tax, comes close to this, while leaving business to the business people. Nationalisation means boards of supervision and control (rent seekers apply here).

I have loads of ideas about the railways, but all that applies with this POD is that the rail track and stations are built on land. That will make them a more tax intensive proposition. The same applies to roads. There is more pressure to be efficient.

Will a landed gent want a house 'in it's own grounds' or will that land be put to work?
Dr Beeching need not axe the rail network if companies share lines to save money. The truly unnecessary lines will be put to alternative use quick enough if there is tax to pay on the land they are built on.

Open cast mining just got more expensive. Mines will need shoring up enough to be able to use the land overhead. I'm not sure that Britain will benefit in the short term from a high extraction charge, but these are the nation's natural resources as much as the land owner's. Future generations must have something to show for the loss of the minerals.

We have a power generation and carbon tax dilemma these days so the same sort of answers need to be worked out. Any ideas?
 
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perfectgeneral

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Tax avoidance measures

Should a conspiracy arrange for local land value rents to be below the true market value we need a measure to intervene. I propose that if someone is willing to pay a land rent tax 10% higher than the current owner then they can make a compulsory purchase of the land (the current owner has the option to increase their land rent valuation by 11% to prevent this).
 

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democratic revenue

Nationalised mineral rights would be auctioned off on a five year basis (one government term). LVT would still apply.

Fishing permits, Water extraction quotas and other uses of the land air or sea of the state would be auctioned on a similar one term basis.

This offers the prospect of a more democratic basis for taxation.
 
So anyway... as interesting as detailed land tax and permits etc can be... let's widen things back out a little, shall we?

Anyone?
 

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Assuming the Radical Tories and their coalition win the election they will be faced with an economy in huge debt, a workforce geared up for war and Industries that haven't advanced since before the war began. Where do they start?

http://history.sandiego.edu/gen/20th/truman45.html
Apr. 23 - Truman spoke harshly to Molotov

  • U.S.-Soviet relations will no longer be "on the basis of a one-way street"
  • U.S. did not expect to get 100% on important matters, but "we should be able to get 85%"
  • "Carry out your agreements and you won't get talked to like that"
Churchill was ousted during the (Potsdam) Berlin Conference. The last conference before the start of the cold war. Things are already icy and Churchill will dig his heels in with the Soviets more than Attlee did.

On 16th July 1945 the Americans successfully tested an atomic bomb at a desert site in the USA.
At the start of the Potsdam Conference, Truman informed Stalin about it.
(who knew about the bomb before Truman through espionage)

Truman was a very different man from Roosevelt.
He was much more anti-Communist than Roosevelt and was very suspicious of Stalin.
Truman and his advisers saw Soviet actions in Eastern Europe as preparations for a Soviet take-over of the rest of Europe. They could be persuaded to stand their ground.

Upper Silesia could be negotiated as only gain on Poland's western border.
US controlled zone extends to the Elbe until withdrawal in July 1945. Against that the Soviets control Berlin. A river line or more mouths to feed. What was Truman thinking?

Time magazine - 05/1945
58724.jpg


Dec. 6 - U.S. loan of $3.75 billion to Socialist Labor government of Britain
Things have to improve before then in this alternative.
 
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Shut the Iron Curtain on the Soviets

http://history.sandiego.edu/gen/20th/truman45.html
June 28 - Jimmy Byrnes replaced Edward Stettinius as Secretary of State
...
Sept. - London Foreign Ministers Conference

  • Byrnes recognized Bulgaria, Rumania
It seems that this wasn't what Truman wanted...

http://history.sandiego.edu/gen/20th/truman46.html
Jan. 5 - Truman letter to Byrnes - no more recognition of communist governments.

  • "I'm sick of babying the Soviets"
Did Attlee's government have a hand in this recognition? Could Churchill's government dissuade Byrnes?
 

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Hayek and the price mechanism

Hayek advises that the price mechanism be used to govern the economy and even society, beyond the capabilities of a planned economy. This radical liberal approach offers an alternative to communism and puts the cold war west (UK government) on a clear idealogical footing.
http://www.virtualschool.edu/mon/Economics/HayekUseOfKnowledge.html
Excerpt from:
The Use of Knowledge in Society


Fundamentally, in a system in which the knowledge of the relevant facts is dispersed among many people, prices can act to co-ordinate the separate actions of different people in the same way as subjective values help the.individual to co-ordinate the parts of his plan. It is worth contemplating for a moment a very simple and commonplace instance of the action of the price system to see what precisely it accomplishes. Assume that somewhere in the world a new opportunity for the use of some raw material, say, tin, has arisen, or that one of the sources of supply of tin has been eliminated. It does not matter for our purpose--and it is significant that it does not matter--which of these two causes has made tin more scarce. All that the users of tin need to know is that some of the tin they used to consume is now more profitably employed elsewhere and that, in consequence, they must economize tin. There is no need for the great majority of them even to know where the more urgent need has arisen, or in favor of what other needs they ought to husband the supply. If only some of them know directly of the new demand, and switch resources over to it, and if the people who are aware of the new gap thus created in turn fill it from still other sources, the effect will rapidly spread throughout the whole economic system and influence not only all the uses of tin but also those of its substitutes and the substitutes of these substitutes, the supply of all the things made of tin, and their substitutes, and so on; and all his without the great majority of those instrumental in bringing about these substitutions knowing anything at all about the original cause of these changes. The whole acts as one market, not because any of its members survey the whole field, but because their limited individual fields of vision sufficiently overlap so that through many intermediaries the relevant information is communicated to all. The mere fact that there is one price for any commodity--or rather that local prices are connected in a manner determined by the cost of transport, etc.--brings about the solution which (it is just conceptually possible) might have been arrived at by one single mind possessing all the information which is in fact dispersed among all the people involved in the process.
We must look at the price system as such a mechanism for communicating information if we want to understand its real function-- a function which, of course, it fulfils less perfectly as prices grow more rigid. (Even when quoted prices have become quite rigid, however, the forces which would operate through changes in price still operate to a considerable extent through changes in the other terms of the contract.) The most significant fact about this system is the economy of knowledge with which it operates, or how little the individual participants need to know in order to be able to take the right action. In abbreviated form, by a kind of symbol, only the most essential information is passed on and passed on only to those concerned. It is more than a metaphor to describe the price system as a kind of machinery for registering change, or a system of telecommunications which enables individual producers to watch merely the movement of a few pointers, as an engineer might watch the hands of a few dials, in order to adjust their activities to changes of which they may never know more than is reflected in the price movement.
Of course, these adjustments are probably never "perfect" in the sense in which the economist conceives of them in his equilibrium analysis. But I fear that our theoretical habits of approaching the problem with the assumption of more or less perfect knowledge on the part of almost everyone has made us somewhat blind to the true function of the price mechanism and led us to apply rather misleading standards in judging its efficiency. The marvel is that in a case like that of a scarcity of one raw material, without an order being issued, without more than perhaps a handful of people knowing the cause, tens of thousands of people whose identity could not be ascertained by months of investigation, are made to use the material or its products more sparingly; that is, they move in the right direction. This is enough of a marvel even if, in a constantly changing world, not all will hit it off so perfectly that their profit rates will always be maintained at the same even or "normal" level.
I have deliberately used the word"marvel" to shock the reader out of the complacency with which we often take the working of this mechanism for granted. I am convinced that if it were the result of deliberate human design, and if the people guided by the price changes understood that their decisions have significance far beyond their immediate aim, this mechanism would have been acclaimed as one of the greatest triumphs of the human mind. Its misfortune is the double one that it is not the product of human design and that the people guided by it usually do not know why they are made to do what they do. But those who clamor for "conscious direction"--and who cannot believe that anything which has evolved without design (and even without our understanding it) should solve problems which we should not be able to solve consciously--should remember this: The problem is precisely how to extend the span of out utilization of resources beyond the span of the control of any one mind; and therefore, how to dispense with the need of conscious control, and how to provide inducements which will make the individuals do the desirable things without anyone having to tell them what to do.
The problem which we meet here is by no means peculiar to economics but arises in connection with nearly all truly social phenomena, with language and with most of our cultural inheritance, and constitutes really the central theoretical problem of all social science. As Alfred Whitehead has said in another connection, "It is a profoundly erroneous truism, repeated by all copy-books and by eminent people when they are making speeches, that we should cultivate the habit of thinking what we are doing. The precise opposite is the case.
Civilization advances by extending the number of important operations which we can perform without thinking about them.." This is of profound significance in the social field. We make constant use of formulas, symbols, and rules whose meaning we do not understand and through the use of which we avail ourselves of the assistance of knowledge which individually we do not possess. We have developed these practices and institutions by building upon habits and institutions which have proved successful in their own sphere and which have in turn become the foundation of the civilization we have built up.
The price system is just one of those formations which man has learned to use (though he is still very far from having learned to make the best use of it) after he had stumbled upon it without understanding it. Through it not only a division of labor but also a co-ordinated utilization of resources based on an equally divided knowledge has become possible. The people who like to deride any suggestion that this may be so usually distort the argument by insinuating that it asserts that by some miracle just that sort of system has spontaneously grown up which is best suited to modern civilization. It is the other way round: man has been able to develop that division of labor on which our civilization is based because he happened to stumble upon a method which made it possible. Had he not done so, he might still have developed some other, altogether different, type of civilization, something like the "state" of the termite ants, or some other altogether unimaginable type. All that we can say is that nobody has yet succeeded in designing an alternative system in which certain features of the existing one can be preserved which are dear even to those who most violently assail it--such as particularly the extent to which the individual can choose his pursuits and consequently freely use his own knowledge and skill.
It is in many ways fortunate that the dispute about the indispensability of the price system for any rational calculation in a complex society is now no longer conducted entirely between camps holding different political views. The thesis that without the price system we could not preserve a society based on such extensive division of labor as ours was greeted with a howl of derision when it was first advanced by Von Mises twenty-five years ago. Today the difficulties which some still find in accepting it are no longer mainly political, and this makes for an atmosphere much more conducive to reasonable discussion. When we find Leon Trotsky arguing that "economic accounting is unthinkable without market relations"; when Professor Oscar Lange promises Professor von Mises a statue in the marble halls of the future Central Planning Board; and when Professor Abba P. Lerner rediscovers Adam Smith and emphasizes that the essential utility of the price system consists in inducing the individual, while seeking his own interest, to do what is in the general interest, the differences can indeed no longer be ascribed to political prejudice. The remaining dissent seems clearly to be due to purely intellectual, and more particularly methodological, differences. - First published American Economic Review, XXXV, No. 4; September, 1945, 519-30

It does, however, require a free floating exchange rate (no gold standard, no Bretton Woods).
 
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perfectgeneral

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Price mechanism

We can expect an immediate end to non-food rationing. With large parts of Europe in complete disarray and Britain responsible for seeing that the British occupied zone is fed food will be in shorter supply than during the war.

Most of the RN fleet will be put on food trade transport duty - leased out at typical merchant rates. Liners will continue in use as troop transports. Shipyards (except Rosythe) will switch to merchant marine production using mass production techniques learnt during the war. Smaller yards build fishing boats. The RN will have to build new shipyards (They do so at Glasgow Port and Pembroke - Panamax dry docks). Shipyard production takes a lower priority than house building as the RN isn't allowed to pay builders at market wages. Many servicemen are retrained for the task.
 
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British Army of the Rhine

1st Corps HQ

  • 2nd Infantry Division
  • Guards Armoured Division
  • 7th Armoured Division
  • 6th Armoured Division

Guards Armoured Division

Divisional HQ

  • 75th Anti-Tank Regiment, Royal Artillery (Motorised)
  • 94th Light Anti-Aircraft Regiment, Royal Artillery (Mechanized)
  • 148th Field Park Squadron, Royal Engineers (Motorised)
  • 11th Bridging Troop, Royal Engineers (Motorised)
  • 1st Armoured Battalion Household Cavalry (Recce)

6th Guards Tank Brigade HQ

  • 3rd Motor Battalion Coldstream Guards
  • 3rd Armoured Battalion Grenadier Guards
  • 1st Armoured Battalion Scots Guards
  • 2nd Armoured Battalion Welsh Guards
  • Field Company, Royal Engineers (Mechanized)
  • Field Regiment, Royal Artillery (Mechanized)

5th Guards Armoured Brigade HQ

  • 2nd Battalion, Grenadier Guards (Mechanized)
  • 1st Armoured Battalion, Coldstream Guards
  • 2nd Armoured Battalion, Irish Guards
  • 3rd Battalion Scots Guards (Mechanized)
  • Field Company, Royal Engineers (Mechanized)
  • Field Regiment, Royal Artillery (Mechanized)

32nd Guards Mechanized Brigade HQ

  • 2nd Battalion, Coldstream Guards (Mechanized)
  • 3rd Motor Battalion, Irish Guards
  • 1st Motor Battalion, Welsh Guards
  • 3nd Armoured Battalion, Welsh Guards (Recce)
  • Field Company, Royal Engineers (Mechanized)
  • Field Regiment, Royal Artillery (Mechanized)

6th Armoured Division

  • Anti-Tank Regiment, Royal Artillery (Motorised)
  • Light Anti-Aircraft Regiment, Royal Artillery (Motorised)
20th Armoured Brigade

  • Field Company, Royal Engineers (mech)
  • Field Regiment, Royal Artillery (mech)
  • 2 armoured battalions
  • 2 mech battalions
31st Mechanised Infantry Brigade

  • Field Company, Royal Engineers (mech)
  • Field Regiment, Royal Artillery (motor)
  • 2 mechanised battalions
  • 2 motorised battalions

7th Armoured Division

  • Anti-Tank Regiment, Royal Artillery (Motorised)
  • Light Anti-Aircraft Regiment, Royal Artillery (Motorised)
Armoured Brigade

  • Field Company, Royal Engineers (mech)
  • Field Regiment, Royal Artillery (mech)
  • 2 armoured battalions
  • 2 mech battalions
Mechanised Infantry Brigade

  • Field Company, Royal Engineers (mech)
  • Field Regiment, Royal Artillery (motor)
  • 2 mechanised battalions
  • 2 motorised battalions

2nd Infantry Division


  • Anti-Tank Regiment, Royal Artillery (Motorised)
  • Light Anti-Aircraft Regiment, Royal Artillery (Motorised)
3x Motorised Infantry Brigade

  • Field Company, Royal Engineers (motor)
  • Field Regiment, Royal Artillery (motor)
  • 3 motorised battalions
  • 1 motorcycle battalion



Note: All British Army regiments (recruitment and tradition) to have four battalions, preferably with different specialist roles. For example:

  • Small arms training, Motorised, Mechanised and Armoured
  • Ceremonial, Motorised, Armoured (recce) and Armoured
  • Small arms training, Light Infantry, Motorised, Air Mobile
  • Small arms training, Light Infantry, Motorcycle, Mechanised
  • Small arms training, Light Infantry, Motorised, Mechanised
  • Air Mobile (Para), Para, Air Mobile Armoured (Para), Para (SF support)
  • Mountain (Commando), Artic (Commando), Jungle (Commando), Commando (SF support)
  • Basic Training x 4

Field Brigades split into two battle groups (2 battalions), based on WW2 experience.
 
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perfectgeneral

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Churchill the zionist wants Israel in the Commonwealth

http://www.winstonchurchill.org/i4a/pages/index.cfm?pageid=726

Thus, in June 1954, Churchill stated to journalists in the United States, "I am a Zionist, let me make that clear. I was one of the original ones after the Balfour Declaration and I have worked faithfully for it." This was merely the introduction. He went on: "I think it is a most wonderful thing that this community should have established itself so effectively, turning the desert into fertile gardens and thriving townships, and should have afforded refuge to millions of their co-religionists who suffered so fearfully under Hitler, and not only under Hitler, persecution. I think it is a wonderful thing." In a conversation with Israel's Ambassador in London, Eliyahu Elath, Churchill referred to Israel's population as "the sons of the prophets dwelling in Zion."
Churchill's attitude toward Zionism and the State of Israel was distinctively positive, the images he entertained bordering on the romantic. In this respect, Churchill had no equal among British politicians and officials in the first half of the 1950s. On almost any question pertaining to the country, Churchill's rhetoric, more than any other decision-maker or official, was distinctively pro-Israel, reflecting, beyond political considerations and a pure judgement of principle, an emotional attachment to that country and the case it presented.
Thus, on the Suez Canal blockade by Egypt against Israel in 1956, Churchill made it clear to the Foreign Office that "I do not mind it being known here or in Cairo that I am on the side of Israel and her ill-treatment by the Egyptians." On the fate of Jerusalem, Churchill urged Evelyn Shuckburgh, Assistant Under-Secretary at the Foreign Office, "You ought to let the Jews have Jerusalem; it is they who made it famous."
While still Prime Minister, Churchill argued that there was no better army in the Middle East than the Israeli Defence Force, and wished to rely on Israel rather than the Arab states in setting up a regional system of defence against the Soviet Union. He insisted that Israel should be supplied with more jet aircraft than either the defence establishment or the Foreign Office wished. He went on to stress his point by telling his Foreign Secretary, Anthony Eden, "To me the greatest issue in this part of the world is not deserting Israel." In this context, he warned Eden against following in the footsteps of one of his predecessors. "Ernest Bevin, being temperamentally anti-semitic, made the first mistake of backing Egypt against Israel....I hope...that we both equally condemn the Bevinite anti semitic policy."
More remarkable still, Churchill was in favour of Israel joining the British Commonwealth. "Do not put that out of your mind," he said to Shuckburgh. "It would be a wonderful thing. So many people want to leave us; it might be the turning of the tide."
Churchill's was Israel's best friend, and as a friend his attitude was shaped by sentiment as much as by pragmatic considerations. He was emotionally attached to Israel and its people, and his stance was a corollary of this. His oft-repeated, self-declared Zionist sympathies, his emotional attachment to the Jewish people and their restored sovereign entity, permeated his attitude toward Arab-Israeli disputes. He was, perhaps the last romantic Zionist Gentile. Or the last romantic Zionist.
I looks like Jews will be allowed to legally emigrate to Palestine after the 1945 general election with Churchill victorious. How large a Jewish population can we expect in Palestine?

Yet the policy before the election was one of returning to country of origin and blocking travel to Palestine. How does Churchill justify this?
As Colonial Secretary, he virtually cut off Trans-Jordan from the Palestine Mandated territory (1921), and in the Churchill White Paper (1922) formulated what he believed would remain the basis of Anglo Jewish cooperation. His subsequent attacks against the measures proposed in the Passfield White Paper of 1939 were based on the premise that they constituted a breach of an agreed policy expressed in his own White Paper. Under his premiership during World War II, Britain maintained her respective policy in Palestine, but his Memoirs reveal that while concentrating single-mindedly on winning the war and wishing to avoid disagreement with his colleagues, he maintained his pro-Jewish attitude throughout. He was one of the first in Britain to insist on recognition of the State of Israel.
So could we see the flood gates opened for half a million displaced Jews?
Might the Palestine Arabs be the militant populous repressed by a modern Israeli state sooner than 1948?
Would an anglophile Israel affect US foreign policy towards the post war UK?
How many Jews that wound up elsewhere OTL would swell the numbers of ATL Israel?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Conflict_with_Zionism
Britain was at this time negotiating a loan from the United States vital to its economic survival. Its treatment of Jewish survivors generated bad publicity and encouraged the US Congress to stiffen its terms. The post-war conflict in Palestine caused more damage to US-British relations than any other issue.[19]

In 1947 the United States chapter of the United Jewish Appeal raised 150 million dollars in its annual appeal – at that time the largest sum of money ever raised by a charity dependent on private contributions. Half was earmarked for Palestine. The Times reported that Palestine brought more dollars into the sterling zone than any other country, save Britain.
This wiki page also observes the £1.2million cost of building camps in Cyprus, the £45,000 running cost every month and the huge troop commitment required to try to contain militant dissent in Palestine.

I think that Churchill would be keen to unload surplus military equipment in the nascent Jewish State. Not so much a loss leader as gaining an ally and customer.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Haganah
In 1936 the Haganah fielded 10,000 mobilized men along with 40,000 reservists. During the 1936-1939 Arab revolt in Palestine, it participated actively to protect British interests and to quell Arab rebellion using the FOSH, and then HISH units. Although the British administration did not officially recognize the Haganah, the British security forces cooperated with it by forming the Jewish Settlement Police, Jewish Auxiliary Forces and Special Night Squads, which were trained and led by Colonel Orde Wingate. The battle experience gained during this time was to become very useful in the 1948 Arab-Israeli war.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Mandate_of_Palestine#World_War_II_and_post-war_end_of_Mandate
Eliyahu Hakim and Eliyahu Bet Zuri, members of the Jewish Lehi underground, assassinated Lord Moyne in Cairo on 6 November 1944. Moyne was the British Minister of State for the Middle East. The assassination is said by some to have turned British Prime Minister Winston Churchill against the Zionist cause. The ban on illegal immigration continued.
After the assassination of Lord Moyne, the Haganah kidnapped, interrogated, tortured and turned over to the British many members of the Irgun and Lehi, along with many of its political opponents, active members of the Revisionist party, political opponents of the Jewish Agency.[92] Irgun ordered its members not to resist or retaliate with violence, so as to prevent a civil war.
Following the war, 250,000 Jewish refugees were stranded in displaced persons (DP) camps in Europe. Despite the pressure of world opinion, in particular the repeated requests of US President Harry S. Truman and the recommendations of the Anglo-American Committee of Inquiry that 100,000 Jews be immediately granted entry to Palestine, the British maintained the ban on immigration. The Jewish underground forces then united and carried out several terrorist attacks and bombings against the British. In 1946, the Irgun blew up the King David Hotel in Jerusalem, the headquarters of the British administration, killing 92 people.
Following the bombing, the British Government began imprisoning illegal Jewish immigrants in Cyprus. Those imprisoned were held without trial and included women and children. Most were holocaust survivors.
The negative publicity resulting from the situation in Palestine meant the mandate was widely unpopular in Britain, and caused the United States Congress to delay granting the British vital loans for reconstruction. At the same time, many European Jews were finding their way to the United States. An increasing growing influence in American politics, many Zionist backers won over sympathizers in the American and other Western governments. The Labour party had promised before its election to allow mass Jewish migration into Palestine. Additionally the situation required maintenance of 100,000 British troops in the country. In response to these pressures the British announced their desire to terminate the mandate and withdraw by May 1948.
Inhibition of the Revisionist Party would delay the declaration of the state of Israel. Eretz Yisrael or the biblical Land of Israel would be settled piecemeal, building up an underlying Jewish population in Palestine and Lebanon. With Churchill's support this might lead to a larger Israel even in the face of French interests. Clearly Tyre south to north of Haifa is what used to be Phoenicia and so not Israel. Likewise the Gaza strip plus the coastal land north of it past Jerusalem is what used to be Philistia and so not Israel. There isn't a strong claim on any of Lebannon beyond the southern part nor Syria beyond the Golan Heights.
428px-Map_Land_of_Israel.jpg
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Churchill deserved the testimonial sent to him on his eightieth birthday by Moshe Sharett, the Foreign Minister of Israel: “‘Your staunch advocacy of the Zionist idea, your belief in its justice and ultimate triumph, and your joy in its consummation with the rise of an independent Israel, have earned for you the everlasting gratitude of the Jewish people’”

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